There are countless studies and never-ending discussions about the true direction of location and life-style preferences – is it back to the city or is it the relentless pursuit of the North American dream, aka suburbia? Adding to this debate is Lisa Sturtevant of the George Mason University School of State Policy, Center for Regional Research, in her article entitled “A Return to the City or a New Divide in the State's Capital Region?” In her short, yet compelling , commentary Sturtevant identifies the emerging divide between urban and suburban, quoting the demographic, economic, and political trends that may shape transportation, housing, and other regional policies. Using Washington, DC as the case study, there are both foundations and stumbling blocks.

Sturtevant classifies the Washington, DC urban area into 5 sub-regions – center city, inner core, inner suburbs, outer suburbs, and far Flung Suburbs. Clearly, these sub-regions can be applied to most urban areas. In the study, the outer suburbs (110%) and far flung suburbs (80%) were the swiftest growing regions over a twenty year period. Over that same time period, the metro area’s population grew by virtually 1.4 million folks. As the center city, inner core, and inner suburbs have limited chances to accommodate such growth, it appears only natural that those areas further out would be less developed and , therefore , better positioned to accommodate growth.

Sturtevant observes that those inner sub-regions have had a negative net migration, or population loss, over the study period. This alone can not be attributed to expansion constraints closer in to the core. as population builds further out, and price increases further from the core, employers and jobs and retail opportunities follow. And, further, it would appear judicious to look at migration rates in those center city, inner core, and inner suburbs considered to be”good” districts, and make a comparison of those to”bad” neighborhoods. It is reasonable to expect that the”good” districts have smaller population losses. However also reasonable to claim that opportunities for positive migration are very tough, given that older, desirable neighborhoods have approached full build-out, particularly in places like Washington, DC where building more recent sometimes does not mean building taller and more dense.

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Established areas simply have fewer chances to increase their populations, unless shorter buildings can be redeveloped as taller buildings. A follow-up study in a city without tough height laws that's further broken down by districts may reveal a different result. While this would complicate the city v suburb debate farther, it might provide additional information points in the extremely difficult kingdom of understanding the endless complexities that shape the built environment.

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