As with almost all of the country, Boise real estate has suffered an amazing drop in activity and prices in recent years. The national real estate scene has been forecast to turn around as late as last spring, but continued troubles beset it and we are still waiting to see it improve dramatically. There is some good news on the horizon and it is reflected in the market numbers for area.

The most active strata in the Boise Idaho real estate market is the entry level home market. Sales usually slow down for winter, so once that is factored in; home sales have clipped right along. The first time home buyer tax credit has lifted this sector of the market dramatically and continues to spur growth. The latest round of appreciation that we experienced was due to the federal home buyer tax credit program.

The middle of the Boise real estate market, consisting of homes between about 200 thousand and 400 thousand dollars is very slow at this point of the market. With financing getting easier to get due to the return of appreciation and consequently primary mortgage insurance, numbers should pick up soon. Construction rates, or new home starts, are minimal in this sector of the market, which means that people are tending to buy the smaller and more energy efficient starter homes.

The Boise real estate luxury home market is the slowest due to the fact that jumbo loans have started to be reported as defaulting in higher numbers in recent weeks. A reduced number of buyers will decide to purchase with higher PMI rates, which is inevitable with the higher defaults rates that are being reported.
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The Boise real estate land market which includes building lots, developments and acreages has seen a decent uptick as many people are spending their tax credit on acquiring acreages. The statistics belie the fact that lot numbers are so low, due completely to the fact that construction and homes starts are so slow. The rate of sales of real estate developments has been markedly slow because real estate developers simply cannot get financing to complete their projects.

Each cold season brings a big slow down to the real estate activity, but this winter I think many buyers will be out trying to wrap things up before the April cutoff for the federal tax incentives. The most dangerous influence in the market is an increase of mortgage rates, which may dampen real estate sales and prolong the recovery that all of us are eagerly waiting.

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