Similar to countries such as the United States, Canada and the United Kingdom, the property market in Australia is struggling to know which way it will turn in 2010. Some experts predict a drop of more than 20% in property values whereas others predict a 5% increase or more.
The main determining factor that will affect property prices will be unemployment. If the unemployment rate continues to rise then it will be only people with deposits that can afford to buy real estate and new builds and many predict that the unemployment rate will soar to as high as 8%, compared to 2008 when the unemployment rate was 4.5%.
The Reserve Bank of Australia cut interest rates by a huge 3% back in 2008 which helped many people with mortgage repayments and the new strict lending rules, issued by the Australian Government, cut down the amount of mortgages given to people who would struggle to meet the repayments.
These stricter lending rules have also reduced the amount of repossessions on the property market which has enabled the Australian property market to remain relatively stable in the last few years.
To help first time buyers get onto the property ladder, the Australian Government now offers first time buyers a grant, however this is only really beneficial if people are able to keep up with their mortgage repayments.
Debt levels are at an all time high in Australia, with more and more people borrowing from banks and credit cards to keep their heads above water. To purchase new properties or new builds will mean taking on extra debt which they obviously can’t.
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Other countries such as the USA, Japan and other European nations are all suffering a recession and even the big player, China has seen a significant slowdown. The world economy is another determining factor and as with other countries, Australia will not be spared.
Although predicted to be generally weak in 2010, the property market in Australia should hold out for the first 6 months or so, and the result of the unemployment issues will be a major deciding factor on where property values goes in the next couple of years.
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