Just like a ride at an amusement park that slows down right before plunging to the steepest decline in the ride, our real estate market may be headed for a similar sudden decline following a small recovery of its 2008 declines.

A trio of gathering government storm clouds will be responsible for the drop that some predict could mean another 10% to 15% slump in prices, they say.

Three years after the peak of the real estate boom and the news is still buzzing with real estate news. Chicken Little Syndrome initiated the bust and has continued its decline, even though we did have 7% appreciate across the nation this year.

The first shoe to fall was last week’s Federal Housing Authority announcement that it would tighten its loan standards in light of defaults that had pushed the agency’s reserves well below its mandated level.

Using the huge number of loan defaults, the FHA reasoned that raising the required down payment for buyers with the lowest credit, increased the PMI premiums for its loans, and reduced the amount of seller pre-paids and closing costs allowed.
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Conventional loan programs are having a hard time placing loans with qualified borrowers, who are turning to FHA financing for easier loans

For a lot of people the FHA was their only resort, said economist Dean Baker, co-director of the Washington, D.C.-based Center for Economic Policy. With conventional loan sources completing fewer and fewer loans on a daily basis, the necessity for FHA loan programs is increasingly supporting and boosting our real estate market and our economy in general.

With today’s economic hardships being so prevalent, government backed mortgage programs, like the FHA program, are crucial to the real estate market recovery, and help buyers find financing who may not otherwise be able to do so.

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